Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 2.977415 3.522688 4.167613 4.994420 6.037481 7.324844 9.057917e+00
2024-10-20 2.238891 2.920409 3.835356 5.186816 7.191907 10.159816 1.509675e+01
2024-10-27 1.801736 2.487971 3.481683 5.085422 7.732647 12.180428 2.085104e+01
2024-11-03 1.630295 2.366310 3.506355 5.502456 9.151234 16.112514 3.218920e+01
2024-11-10 1.456375 2.197283 3.407414 5.670888 10.178249 19.791488 4.579926e+01
2024-11-17 1.338539 2.091056 3.380991 5.947205 11.496687 24.733421 6.713721e+01
2024-11-24 1.198712 1.922684 3.210470 5.899025 12.111582 28.380433 8.892178e+01
2024-12-01 1.100871 1.810931 3.119952 5.985742 13.065819 33.506318 1.233140e+02
2024-12-08 1.012899 1.703452 3.017315 6.018964 13.904739 38.886019 1.687534e+02
2024-12-15 0.961107 1.655163 3.021581 6.293367 15.505970 48.040380 2.569679e+02
2024-12-22 0.879763 1.539623 2.869360 6.158592 15.886346 53.087263 3.351335e+02
2024-12-29 0.819923 1.458971 2.778419 6.156149 16.686849 60.673219 4.666454e+02
2025-01-05 0.742874 1.344997 2.620298 6.006393 17.185375 68.743580 6.731221e+02
2025-01-12 0.698253 1.293972 2.599952 6.245972 19.295231 88.944377 1.300546e+03
2025-01-19 0.637849 1.200872 2.464652 6.118273 19.970455 102.436873 2.109636e+03
2025-01-26 0.620090 1.196590 2.539562 6.645296 23.759630 146.921138 6.152877e+03
2025-02-02 0.587884 1.155672 2.516120 6.858860 26.382356 191.434594 1.722048e+04
2025-02-09 0.564545 1.131528 2.530989 7.210063 30.076132 263.685148 7.959049e+04
2025-02-16 0.527282 1.070264 2.436815 7.148751 31.523835 317.086371 3.343445e+05
2025-02-23 0.500067 1.029591 2.392037 7.259125 34.179285 407.993914 5.807586e+06
2025-03-02 0.473175 0.986553 2.333620 7.301437 36.524304 515.592457 1.304894e+12
2025-03-09 0.457939 0.970331 2.349322 7.651478 41.534714 747.409894 NaN
2025-03-16 0.429186 0.917116 2.247885 7.479430 42.453751 879.994843 NaN